The road to the Super Bowl continues today with the final two games in the Divisional Round.
Both No. 1 seeds advanced — the Ravens easily and the 49ers with a last-minute comeback — and today we have Detroit looking to reach its first NFC Championship appearance since 1991… and the latest installment of Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen going toe-to-toe.
Covers’ team of NFL betting experts — Jason Logan, Josh Inglis, and Rohit Ponnaiya — have free NFL picks for each of these matchups, including a best bet and a same-game parlay to play for all four contests
Check out their plays below, with all Divisional Round odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.
Josh Inglis’ Texans at Ravens picks
Best bet: C.J. Stroud Over 35.5 pass attempts (+108) ✅
Baltimore has been a favorite by a TD or more four times this year and each time the opposing QB has thrown the ball 37 times or more. Over Baltimore’s final five wins, it’s faced 38, 46, 43, 41, and 44 pass attempts; it doesn’t matter who is under center, gamescript is the most important thing when looking at pass volume — and Houston could be passing a ton in this one if a healthy and motivated Baltimore team continues to dominate its opponents.
Read Josh’s full analysis in his Texans vs. Ravens predictions.
Same-game parlay
C.J. Stroud Over 243.5 passing yardsRavens -9.5Over 43.5 No-sweat promo available
+518 at FanDuel
Jason Logan’s Packers at 49ers picks
Best bet: Brandon Aiyuk Over 67.5 receiving yards (-114) ❌
Aiyuk was limited during a meaningless Week 18 game, but posted efforts of 113, 114, and 126 yards in three of the four prior games. He averages 17.1 yards per reception against zone and the Packers have been susceptible to big plays while running zone schemes. The Cheeseheads, who finished 23rd in EPA allowed per dropback and 31st in success rate allowed per dropback, will also possibly be down their top pass defender in corner Jaire Alexander.
Read Jason’s full analysis in his Packers vs. 49ers predictions.
Same-game parlay
Brandon Aiyuk Over 67.5 receiving yards49ers halftime-fulltime Under 50.5No-sweat promo available
+436 at FanDuel
Rohit Ponnaiya’s Buccaneers at Lions picks
Best bet: Over 48.5 (-110) ✅
Tampa Bay QB Baker Mayfield has thrown for 280+ yards in four of his last five games, and he’ll aim to make up for a stinker of a game against Detroit in Week 6 — especially as the Lions are just 30th in the league in defensive dropback EPA since that matchup. That said, the Bucs aren’t much better, ranking 24th in the league in defensive dropback EPA since Week 7… and they’ve struggled against tight ends and No. 1 wide receivers.
Read Rohit’s full analysis in his Buccaneers vs. Lions predictions.
Same-game parlay
Over 48.5Amon-Ra St. Brown Over 89.5 receiving yardsBaker Mayfield Over 255.5 passing yards
+350 at FanDuel
Jason Logan’s Chiefs at Bills picks
Best bet: Josh Allen Over 1.5 pass TDs (-106) ❌
Allen has thrown for five touchdowns in the past two games, three of which came in the Wild Card win over Pittsburgh. His two touchdown throws vs. Miami in Week 18 also could have easily been four TDs, if not for a red-zone interception and a goal-line drop. Adding to the likelihood of 2+ pass TDs from Allen is a receiving corps close to full capacity — something that wasn’t there during the home stretch of the schedule when Allen averaged only 1.25 touchdown passes between Week 9 and Week 17.
Read Jason’s full analysis in his Chiefs vs. Bills predictions.
Same-game parlay
Josh Allen Over 1.5 pass TDsPatrick Mahomes Over 1.5 pass TDTravis Kelce anytime TD
+383 at FanDuel
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Jared Hochman
Content Manager
Before Jared Hochman joined the Covers team in 2020, he worked for newspaper outlets such as the Chronicle Herald and The Coast, worked in marketing for SkipTheDishes and Vivid Seats, and previously ran a magazine. A journalism graduate from the University of King’s College in, Halifax, N.S., “Hoch” brings more than a decade of experience in sports betting, having worked as a freelance handicapper, making appearances on Monumental Sports Network and the Sharp 600 podcast, and now also filling in occasionally as host of Covers’ NHL Puck Props.
Awarded Covers’ company MVP for 2023, Jared is an avid bettor of MLB, NFL, NHL, and NBA, while also wagering on some soccer and WNBA. His best advice for sports bettors? Price shop — something he does daily across 10 different sportsbook apps.
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