For a long time, if you asked any regular NFL bettor what home-field advantage was worth, you more or less got the same answer: three points on the spread. But the collective understanding of what the home field is worth today has evolved rapidly due to a long-standing downward trend, as well as adjustments suggested and made during the nearly fanless season of the COVID pandemic.

Many analytical bettors and analysts have kept a keen eye on home-team performance in the last two seasons following the full return of fans. So how did things exactly shake out? Do we have a clearer understanding of how much home-field advantage is worth today?

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The National Football League returns to Germany for the second time on Sunday, when the 6-2 Miami Dolphins take on the 6-2 Kansas City Chiefs in the home of Eintracht Frankfurt football club.

The Week 9 odds are basically a toss-up between these two AFC powerhouses. Tua Tagovailoa will be looking for their first win over a team with a winning record, while Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs are looking to bounce back from an upset loss in the NFL odds to the Denver Broncos.

Find out what my free NFL picks are for this international affair when I take a deep dive into the odds for various NFL player props.

You can also get a full-game analysis with our Dolphins vs. Chiefs picks, and more great prop bets in our Patrick Mahomes props spotlight.

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The road to the Super Bowl continues today with the final two games in the Divisional Round.

Both No. 1 seeds advanced — the Ravens easily and the 49ers with a last-minute comeback — and today we have Detroit looking to reach its first NFC Championship appearance since 1991… and the latest installment of Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen going toe-to-toe.

Covers’ team of NFL betting experts — Jason Logan, Josh Inglis, and Rohit Ponnaiya — have free NFL picks for each of these matchups, including a best bet and a same-game parlay to play for all four contests

Check out their plays below, with all Divisional Round odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.

Josh Inglis’ Texans at Ravens picks

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The Miami Dolphins will look to get back on track against a struggling Tennessee Titans team in the first of two Monday Night Football games.

To do that, they’ll need Tyreek Hill to play up to his All-Pro ability, even with Tua Tagovailoa out and Tyler Huntley starting.

Unfortunately for the Dolphins, the Titans’ defense has quietly gotten off to a decent start, making the Tyreek Hill odds for Monday, September 30, difficult to feel good about in this matchup.

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The Colorado Rockies have yet to win a series this season, but they have a chance to do so this week. They also could win consecutive games for the first time in 2024 as they meet the San Diego Padres on Wednesday night in the third game of a four-game series in Denver. Colorado's offense broke out in Tuesday night's 7-4 win over the Padres, snapping a six-game losing streak to San Diego. The Padres took the series opener 3-1 on Monday behind a strong outing from Dylan Cease, who allowed just one hit over seven innings. The Padres will send right-hander Matt Waldron (0-2, 4.74 ERA) to the mound while the Rockies had not announced a starter as of Wednesday morning. Tuesday was a rare win for Colorado, which had lost 10 of 12 entering the game. The Rockies lost a franch…

This is a dangerous game for Chelsea, who remain a work in progress despite spending more than £200m on their squad. Crystal Palace are set up to hurt teams on the break and, having already won at Manchester United, they could cause Chelsea a few problems. It promises to be an awkward test for Frank Lampard’s side after their defeat to Tottenham in the Carabao Cup, although they have been boosted by Christian Pulisic’s return from injury. The winger could be in the squad for the first time this season. Jacob Steinberg

Saturday 12.30pm BT Sport 1

Venue Stamford Bridge

Last season Chelsea 2 Crystal Palace 0

Referee Michael Oliver

This s…

Thomas Tuchel said he understands César Azpilicueta’s desire to join Barcelona, but added that Chelsea will not allow the defender to leave for a cut-price fee.

Azpilicueta, whose contract expires in June 2023, has been linked with a move to Barcelona for several months, but Tuchel said the Spanish club’s valuation of the Spain international did not match Chelsea’s.

Chelsea poised to land Jules Koundé after fighting off Barcelona competitionRead more

“It’s a tough question because I am not sure if I want to give Azpi what he wants,” Tuchel said. “At some point it is about what we want. I made the comparison about how much we fought for Kalidou Koulibaly, who is a national team player and roughly the s…

Gail Emms once gave a school presentation about her mum, Janice, who represented England at a 1971 football World Cup in Mexico. The problem was, no one believed her. The idea that a 19-year-old Janice Emms had played in front of 90,000 at the Azteca Stadium in Mexico City, that she stayed in the same hotel as Bobby Moore’s 1970 side, that her team needed police escorts to handle their overwhelming celebrity, was dismissed as fantasy. There was no such thing as a women’s World Cup. Pics or it didn’t happen.

Gail Emms would go on to become a badminton world champion and Olympic silver medallist – and even then she still struggled to convince people of her mother’s achievements. “I’ve been shouting about Mexico for years,” says…